The goal of this paper is to conceptualise the effect of open education recognition on the overall higher education landscape by creating a future history i.e., the evolution from present conditions to one of several futures. These scenarios are the result of a combination of qualitative approaches including diligent desk research and outcomes from discussions during two expert workshops. The workshops focused on future foresight and scenario development exercises among experts and stakeholders from the field of education as well as educational technology from all across Europe. The results of this study are firstly, identification of key driving forces that affect the future of open education through credentialization and secondly, a forecast of five potential future scenarios, including predicting their probability, defining and projecting key measures that can have a great impact, and finally, mapping them to policy recommendations.

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Publication Year: 2018